Weekend Review – VIX Options and Futures – 2/19/2017

We’ve experienced several twists in the volatility markets this year where the futures don’t move in sync or in line with spot VIX.  This occurred again last week as VIX rose almost 6% while the futures markets moved lower.  Part of this may be attributed to February going off the board, at least with respect to March, but the farther date futures had been a bit elevated this year, but with the lack of any sort of volatility event appear to have started to weigh on the farther dated part of the curve.

VIX Table TS

VIX Weeklys options continue to garner more interest.  Over the past week, I came across a trade that is pinpointing higher volatility sometime before the end of February.  In a handful of lots someone sold 10,000 VIX Mar 1st 12 Puts for 0.50 and then purchased the same number of VIX Mar 1st 13 Calls for 0.75 and a net cost of 0.25.  It was nice to see a sizable trade executed in that market as a confirmation of there being enough liquidity in the non-standard expirations to facilitate a large trade like this.  The payout at March 1st settlement appears below, but as always, I’m going to assume a volatility spike between now and then would result in the call side of this trade being exited.

VIX Weekend PO

Weekend Review Volatility Indexes and ETPs 2/19/2017

VXST and VIX managed gains last week while the longer dated volatility indexes (VXV and VXMT) both lost value.  The curve created by charting out VXST, VIX, VXV, and VXMT has been steep for most of 2017 as the shorter dated indexes have been at very low levels.  The price action last week narrowed the […]

Block Trade – 1 x 4 VIX Call Spread

I’m on the road today playing an academic, but regardless of how far I am from CBOE I still am fortunate that I’m constantly keep in the loop about big trades.  I got a heads up this morning that a VIX Mar 15 – 22 1 x 4 Call spread traded in the VIX pit […]

VIX and 3 Day Weekends

Another three-day weekend is sneaking up on us.  The result for those of us that have an unhealthy obsession with VIX is to talk about how a three-day weekend provides a headwind for VIX performance.  It has been awhile since I looked at the impact of holiday weekends so I downloaded data and got to […]

CBOE SKEW Index Rises to 141.41, with Increased Demand for Portfolio Protection

FEB. 16, 2017 – Today the CBOE SKEW Index rose to 141.41, its highest level this month, and its 25th highest value since January 1990. With U.S. stock market indexes recently hitting all-time highs, there is quite a bit investor uncertainty about the markets and there is high demand for protection from large market declines. […]

Portfolio Protection, Tail Risk and 11 Histograms

With U.S. stock market indexes recently hitting all-time highs, there is quite a bit investor uncertainty about the markets and there is high demand for protection from large market declines. One metric providing evidence of this high demand is the CBOE SKEW Index (SKEW). In the 27 years from 1990 through 2016, the average daily […]

Finding Volatility in the US Markets

VIX is low, we all know VIX is low.  I type that and feel I need to stop channeling Dr. Seuss. However, there are some pockets of volatility in the US equity markets, we just need to know where to look.  Since CBOE quotes several volatility indexes that are based on the US markets I […]

Weekend Review – Volatility Indexes and ETPs – 2/5/2017

VXST dropped while the other three volatility indexes based on S&P 500 index option pricing rose slightly.  This all happened despite a rise in the S&P 500 last week. Probably the most notable thing on the table below is the rise in VVIX despite the stock market and VIX not doing much last week. Focusing […]

Weekend Review – VIX Futures and Options – 2/5/2017

VIX rose slightly last week while all standard futures contracts lost value.  February settlement is a week and a half off so the longer VIX remains in the 10’s the more drift lower we should expect out of the front month future. As the front month starts to approach settlement date, VIX option traders start […]

Demand for Disaster Protection Increases as CBOE SKEW Index Hits a Six-Month High – By Matt Moran

JAN. 18, 2017 – Today the CBOE SKEW Index (SKEW) closed at 143.43, its highest value since June 2016. CBOE SKEW Index values, which are calculated from weighted strips of out-of-the-money S&P 500 options, rise to higher levels as investors become more fearful of a “black swan” event — an unexpected event of large magnitude […]

  • CATEGORIES

  • Recent Comments

  • Tags

  • authors

  •  

  • Quick Links

  • Blogroll

  • Follow Us

    RSSTwitterFacebookLinkedInYouTube
  • Archives