Category Archives: Uncategorized

VIX Options and Futures Review – 1/31/2016

The VIX term structure is approaching contango which many VIX watchers will consider a green light for the equity markets, but the February contract stubbornly remains elevated relative to the March contract.  Although on Friday this premium was down to 0.30.  My feeling is February may stay up a bit until we get the employment […]

Five Takeaways from 2015

2015 is behind us and the S&P 500 dropped (more than a rounding error) for the first time since 2008.  If you want to put a positive spin on the year you can say with dividends the S&P 500 was higher.  It was a fun year to be a market participant as we experienced some […]

Last Week in VIX – 8/30/2015

I’m depending on my aging mental capacity in lieu of spending the time to go through the last four years of VIX recap blogs for the following statement.  I have no recollection of a shift in the VIX term structure curve that replicates what shows up below.  VIX lost value on the week, while all […]

OTM Bear Call Spread from Monday’s VIX Rally

Fear was heightened on Monday and Greece and then China was making news.  VIX was high there and there was a trade that came into the VIX pit taking advantage of the move.  As the day came to a close, VIX was at 19.66 and the July Futures were more than a point lower. Someone saw […]

Last Week in VXST – 4/27/2014

I am adding a graphic to my blogs this week that shows the Friday to Friday price action for each of the volatility indexes that have tradable markets.  VXST rebounded on Monday based on the three day weekend effect that I discussed last week you can check out the link below, but the short version […]

Last Week in Emerging Market Volatility – 3/9/2014

The emerging market space took a hit early in the week as the Russia weighting of just over 5% led to a drag in performance for the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM – 39.52).  Out of curiosity I checked out the country weightings for EEM on the iShares website.  The weightings for the top […]

Comparing VXST (9-day), VIX (30-day) and VXV (93-day) Indexes, and Term Structure – By Matt Moran

On October 1 the new CBOE S&P 500 Short-Term Volatility Index (VXST) was introduced at the second annual CBOE Risk Management Conference Europe. VXST is first-ever volatility gauge that includes the expected volatility of the popular SPX Weeklys options. To gain an understanding of investors’ consensus views of expected stock market volatility over different time […]

Two BlackRock Papers: (1) Volatile September, and (1) VIX Your Portfolio – By Matt Moran

BlackRock recently published two papers — ·         “Get Ready for a Volatile September” (August 20, 2013) http://bit.ly/VolSept  (8-page paper), and ·        “VIX Your Portfolio – Selling Volatility to Improve Performance” (June 2013 ) http://bit.ly/BlackRock-VIX (24-page paper) The BlackRock paper on September volatility noted that —  “Volatility is likely to increase into September when the Federal […]

Fear Gauge Spikes: Let’s Play Hot Potato

For what risk does the commodity investor get paid? At what point is the fear gauge so high the risk gets passed like a hot potato? The answers to these questions will help explain why post the global financial crisis there has been a link between VIX spikes and commodity losses. Let’s address the first […]

How Do Volatility Indexes Compare to Volatility Skew? By Matt Moran

How does 30-day implied volatility at various strike prices compare to related volatility indexes?  This Blog provides a brief overview of some sample data and graphs on this topic. COMPARING IMPLIED VOLATILITY AND VOLATILITY INDEXES While the volatility indexes are great gauges for showing intraday and long-term changes in expected volatility, the volatility indexes often […]

  • CATEGORIES

  • Recent Comments

  • Tags